Italy’s goods exports are expected to rise 2% in 2026, then accelerate to 2.5% in 2027 and 2.8% in 2028, keeping the country on track to approach the €700 billion threshold by the end of the three-year period.
According to the latest SACE outlook, exports should move from about €662 billion in 2025 to €675 billion in 2027, then climb past €690 billion in 2028. The direction is encouraging, but the message behind the numbers is even more important: Italy’s export model is being forced to evolve in a world shaped by conflict, trade barriers, and unstable supply chains.
